Talk About Network

Google


Register and Login
Nick
Password
Register create new account Sign up is FREE and you can post replies, new topics, bookmark posts and more!
Recover lost password


Gambling > Poker > OT: MLB/Kelly C...
Latest [ Topics | Posts ] Archive Post A New Topic Post a Reply
<< Topic < Post Post 1 of 3 Topic 209434 of 216827
Post > Topic >>

OT: MLB/Kelly Criterion

by "Brian Cadd" <bcadd@[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Jun 13, 2008 at 12:06 PM

So, I'm not a math guy...

I've got two handicapping methods that I use for MLB. They usually give me

about six plays a day. I'm doing pretty well betting a flat percentage of
my 
bankroll but I'm thinking about using the Kelly Criterion (or Half-Kelly)
to 
size my bets.

When betting multiple games using the Kelly should I:

1) Calculate the size of my first bet, subtract that bet from my bankroll,

and use that bankroll for my second calculation.
2) Average the odds I'm getting on all of my plays for the day, calculate
my 
bet size, and wager that amount on each game.
3) Average the odds I'm getting on all of my plays for the day, calculate
my 
bet size, and divide that wager among all of my plays.

For instance, if my bank is $1000, I'm hitting 59%, and I have six plays 
should I wager:

1) $261 on game one, $152 on game two, $88 on game three, etc...
2) $129 on each game
3) $21.50 on each game

Help?!

Sidenote: At this point I'm using 3% of my bank as one wager or $30.
 




 3 Posts in Topic:
OT: MLB/Kelly Criterion
"Brian Cadd" &l  2008-06-13 12:06:09 
Re: MLB/Kelly Criterion
"eleaticus" <  2008-06-14 00:33:40 
Re: MLB/Kelly Criterion
"garycarson" &l  2008-06-14 17:06:27 

Post A Reply:
  Go here to Signup

AddThis Feed Button


About - Advertising - Contact - Frequently Asked Questions - Privacy Policy - Terms of Use - Signup

Contact
tan12V112 Thu Nov 20 2:46:56 CST 2008.