The scenario: 2500 player tournament. I've had good
cards early: played 7 hands of 35 so far, and won six,
showing premium pairs three times which I bet strongly.
My opponent has not been involved in many pots, and
the ones that went to showdown, he had the best hand
which he had been betting fairly weakly (checking a lot
and making bets which I would consider too small), which
I interpreted as him wanting to get money in , but not
wanting to lose too much if his hand wasn't actually best.
I haven't seen him chase yet.
PokerStars Game #17874197722: Tournament #90369592, $10+$1 Hold'em No
Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2008/06/02 - 19:45:57 (ET)
Table '90369592 106' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: acetofive (3980 in chips)
Seat 2: Captain Mark (3490 in chips)
Seat 3: c@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
(3265 in chips)
Seat 4: LocosRubber (5065 in chips)
Seat 5: thetugman (6265 in chips)
Seat 6: Old Wolf NZ (7330 in chips)
Seat 7: marchstarr (3440 in chips)
Seat 8: briansc (2770 in chips)
Seat 9: AllRed5324 (4750 in chips)
LocosRubber: posts small blind 50
thetugman: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Old Wolf NZ [7h 7s]
Old Wolf NZ: raises 200 to 300
marchstarr: folds
briansc: folds
AllRed5324: folds
acetofive: calls 300
Captain Mark: folds
c@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
folds
LocosRubber: folds
thetugman: calls 200
*** FLOP *** [7c 2h Qc]
thetugman: checks
Old Wolf NZ: bets 400
acetofive: calls 400
thetugman: folds
*** TURN *** [7c 2h Qc] [6s]
Old Wolf NZ: bets 900
acetofive: calls 900
*** RIVER *** [7c 2h Qc 6s] [8c]
Old Wolf NZ: checks
acetofive: bets 2380 and is all-in
Old Wolf NZ: folds
When he called the turn bet, I thought he had AK
clubs, or AQ/KQ/JQ (less likely), possibly 22 or QQ,
or maybe other clubs and calling based on implied odds.
Based on his play on past hands, I didn't see him
chasing with a missed pair, or calling with stuff like
Q7 preflop. I can't see Qx making that river bet given
his lack of aggressive play thus far.
22 fits the betting, but so does QQ and clubs.
My gut said that he had clubs; and given that I only
had 2-1 pot odds, and it would be half my stack to call,
I chose to preserve my stack.
Postscript - I was so busy thinking about this hand
afterwards that I made a thoughtless play five minutes
later and busted out. Lesson learned!
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